Don’t Simplify What You Don’t Know

When something doesn’t make a lot of sense or pieces seem to be missing, it’s easy to assume the simplest explanation. But there is no reason a made-up simple explanation is any more likely to be true than a made-up complicated explanation.

How many things that are true are quite complicated and counter-intuitive? Why would the things we don’t yet understand be simpler, on average, than those we do?