Most of the Time, Nobody Knows

Most problems and mysteries and big happenings in the world don’t have a clear answer.

Or if they do, nobody really knows what it is.

Test this. Ask around the next time some big hard to explain or understand thing happens. Lots of people will give you their take, but it becomes clear immediately none of them really know.

At first, you assume you’re asking the wrong people, or the wrong questions, or in the wrong way, or at the wrong time. If you wait until more info comes out, you get the right person, they will explain exactly what’s happening, why, and how.

After many iterations of never getting a clear explanation that holds up to scrutiny, you begin to discover the truth: no one knows.

This can be disconcerting. If you allow, it can drive you mad or into the arms of delusional monocausal explanations.

But if you get comfortable with the fact that almost nobody knows what the hell is going on almost all of the time, you can adjust how you approach things and it’s useful and even fun.

Still ask around. Still make and compare theories. But hold all of them more loosely, and know that you’ll likely never face a final judge to tell you if you’re right or wrong.

It’s not like school. There isn’t one authority at the head of the class who has the correct answer and can tell you if you passed or failed.

Everyone’s guessing.

Think in probabilities and possibilities. Explore and test. See which explanations carry the most water. Enjoy the process.